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    « Arpa-e funding for non-photosynthetic renewable fuel synthesis | Main | Quiz: YouTube comments or e.e. cummings? »

    December 10, 2009

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    Listed below are links to weblogs that reference Not a chance Sarah Palin will debate Al Gore about climate change:

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    sleepy

    I'm not sure I agree that I'd welcome this debate. There's an element to these kinds of grossly asymmetrical contests that can in a perverse way favor the least skilled contestant. Especially on this topic where it's easy to get in the weeds on the nuts and bolts of the science against someone who - while clearly outmatched in terms of knowledge - remains obviously skilled at avoiding substance. Could easily turn into a David v. Goliath PR victory for the know-nothings.

    Take poker as an example. At the highest, professional levels there is near-universal knowledge of card theory, odds and percentages, rational play, optimal betting strategies, and other skills that serves to make game play more predictable because rationality is assumed. The most skillful players employ certain strategies of rational game play because they pay out over time.

    Enter the complete novice (as we see every year now in the World Series), and you continually see some of the world's best pros completely flummoxed by irrational play that in one instance managed to work out for the amateur maniac -- e.g. badly timed all-in moves, betting out with bad cards at statistically inopportune times, etc. Certain thing pros would never do (due to the mathematical certainty of losing money as a result, over the long term) amateurs get away in the short term because of the luck involved.

    A debate between Al Gore and Sarah Palin could be similar, with Palin spouting platitudes and jumping around incoherently from talking point to talking point, with and Al Gore getting frustrated having expected a debate about policy and the actual substance of the science, something Palin would be foolish to engage. One badly-timed sigh from Al and it's over.

    Wes

    I just realized that whenever I read Palin quotes to myself, I always have to do it in a northern accent...am I alone in this?

    Jay McDonough

    Sleepy,

    I suppose that's right. It's also probably true that no one ends up changing any minds. Gore supporters would believe he kicked her butt with data and understanding of the issue. Palin supporters would believe she exposed Gore as a big bag of wind, an elite hypocrite.

    Wes,

    I can only speak for myself. I can't get through a complete Palin quote - by the time I'm halfway through I have no idea what she's talking about and I begin to think what Im gonna have for dinner.

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